Workshop Pengoptimalan AI
25-28 Februari 2025
Nusantara Power Services | Akhmad Guntar
Zero prompting adalah teknik meminta AI untuk melakukan tugas tanpa memberikan contoh atau konteks tambahan. Teknik ini efektif untuk:
Berdasarkan hasil evaluasi:
Kekuatan:
- Culture fit sangat baik (88/100), menunjukkan potensi adaptasi yang baik dengan tim
- Kompetensi teknis kuat (85/100), memenuhi kebutuhan posisi
- Pengalaman 5 tahun memberikan fondasi yang solid
Area Pengembangan:
- Komunikasi (78/100) perlu ditingkatkan untuk level senior
- Problem solving (82/100) cukup baik tapi masih ada ruang improvement
Rekomendasi: HIRED
Justifikasi:
- Skor total di atas threshold minimum (>80)
- Pengalaman relevan memadai
- Kelemahan di area komunikasi dapat ditingkatkan melalui training
Catatan Onboarding:
- Sertakan dalam program communication skill development
- Assign mentor untuk akselerasi adaptasi
- Review progress dalam 3 bulan pertama
Tingkat Bahaya: HIGH
Alasan Klasifikasi:
1. Lokasi kritis - turbine deck adalah area vital dengan traffic tinggi
2. Durasi exposure - 2 jam adalah terlalu lama untuk hazard yang belum diatasi
3. Potensi bahaya ganda:
- Slip and fall hazard dari genangan oli
- Fire hazard dari material mudah terbakar
4. Kontrol eksisting tidak memadai:
- Absorbent dan safety cone hanya kontrol sementara
- Tidak ada tindak lanjut pembersihan
Tindakan yang Diperlukan:
1. Immediate Actions:
- Isolasi area dengan barrier tape
- Lakukan pembersihan segera
- Investigasi sumber kebocoran
2. Preventive Measures:
- Review prosedur response time
- Tingkatkan frekuensi inspeksi
- Update SOP housekeeping
Referensi:
- NFPA 70E Standard
- OSHA Walking-Working Surfaces
- Site Safety Procedures
Analisis Komparatif:
1. Biaya
Vendor A: Moderate (450 juta)
Vendor B: Lowest (380 juta, -15.5%)
Vendor C: Highest (520 juta, +15.5%)
2. Delivery Time
Vendor A: Standard (12 minggu)
Vendor B: Longest (16 minggu, +33%)
Vendor C: Best (8 minggu, -33%)
3. Payment Terms
Vendor A: Favorable (30/70)
Vendor B: Least Favorable (50/50)
Vendor C: Most Favorable (20/80)
4. Parts Quality
Vendor A: High (OEM)
Vendor B: Medium (Compatible)
Vendor C: High (OEM)
Rekomendasi: Vendor A
Justifikasi:
1. Balance optimal antara harga dan kualitas
2. Delivery time masih dalam batas acceptable
3. Payment terms cukup menguntungkan
4. Risiko kualitas minimal dengan parts OEM
Catatan:
- Vendor B terlalu berisiko dengan parts non-OEM
- Vendor C premium cost tidak sebanding benefit
- Vendor A menawarkan total value terbaik
Analisis Inventory Parameters:
1. Reorder Point Calculation:
- Monthly usage = 8 units
- Weekly usage = 2 units
- Lead time usage = 2 units × 12 weeks = 24 units
- Base ROP = 24 units
2. Safety Stock Determination:
- Criticality: High (turbine operations)
- Stock out impact: Severe (>100 juta/hari)
- Recommended safety factor: 2 months
- Safety stock = 16 units (2 × monthly usage)
3. Total ROP = 40 units
(Base ROP + Safety Stock)
4. Current Status:
- Current stock (6 units) BELOW minimum level
- Immediate order required
- Order quantity recommendation: 40 units
5. Financial Impact:
- Order value: 1 milyar (40 × 25 juta)
- Holding cost consideration: 2.5% monthly
- Risk mitigation value: >3 milyar/month
Rekomendasi:
1. Place immediate order for 40 units
2. Review lead time with vendors
3. Implement VMI program consideration
4. Develop alternate vendors
Monitoring Requirements:
- Weekly stock review
- Monthly usage trend analysis
- Quarterly parameter review
Analisis Kondisi:
1. Parameter Kritis:
- Exhaust temp rise: +13°C
- Rate: 26°C per jam
- Trend: Cepat
- Severity: WARNING level
2. Status Operasi:
- Beban stabil
- Ambient normal
- Inlet normal
- No mechanical issues
3. Kemungkinan Penyebab:
- Kompressor fouling
- Combustor issue
- IGV malfunction
- Air/fuel ratio tidak optimal
Tindakan Segera:
1. Monitor trending setiap 5 menit
2. Check IGV position & response
3. Verifikasi fuel gas quality
4. Review combustor parameters
5. Prepare load reduction if temp > 550°C
Eskalasi Required:
- Notify shift supervisor
- Alert maintenance team
- Document di log book
- Prepare contingency plan
Batas Operasi:
- WARNING: >545°C
- TRIP: >565°C
- Trend limit: 30°C/jam
Klasifikasi: PLANNED
Analisis Kondisi:
1. Vibrasi Level:
- Current: 6.8 mm/s (WARNING)
- Baseline: 4.5 mm/s
- Rate: +0.33 mm/s per hari
- ISO Standard: Alert 7.1 mm/s
2. Karakteristik:
- 1X dominant = unbalance/misalignment
- Bearing temp OK = no immediate bearing risk
- Trend gradual = developing issue
3. Risk Assessment:
- Equipment: Medium
- Production: Low
- Safety: Low
- Environmental: Low
Justifikasi PLANNED:
1. Masih di bawah trip limit
2. Trend kenaikan moderate
3. No secondary symptoms
4. Backup pump available
Rekomendasi:
1. Schedule repair next weekend
2. Prepare balancing equipment
3. Check alignment
4. Monitor setiap 4 jam
5. Prepare spare parts
Monitoring Requirements:
- Vibration: every 4 hours
- Bearing temp: continuous
- Performance parameters
- Noise level changes
Analisis DGA:
1. Gas Ratios:
CH4/H2 = 0.8 (Normal < 0.1)
C2H2/C2H4 = 0.02 (Normal < 0.1)
C2H4/C2H6 = 3.33 (High > 3)
CO2/CO = 7 (Normal 3-10)
2. Nilai Kritis:
- C2H4 (150 ppm) > IEEE limit (100 ppm)
- CO (500 ppm) > IEEE limit (350 ppm)
- C2H2 masih normal
- H2 borderline
3. Pattern Matching:
- High C2H4/C2H6: Thermal fault
- Low C2H2/C2H4: No arcing
- Elevated CO: Paper aging
Diagnosis: Thermal Fault T3 (>700°C)
Severity: MEDIUM-HIGH
Rekomendasi:
1. Increase sampling frequency to monthly
2. Perform IR scan on tank and connections
3. Check loading history
4. Review cooling system operation
5. Plan for oil treatment
Required Actions:
- Monitor load carefully
- Check cooling fans/pumps
- Prepare contingency plan
- Schedule maintenance window
Troubleshooting Sequence:
1. Initial Checks:
- Verify 24VDC power supply
- Check cable continuity
- Verify grounding
- Inspect physical damage
- Check impulse lines
2. Signal Path Testing:
Loop Check:
- Measure 4-20mA at transmitter
- Measure at junction box
- Measure at marshalling panel
- Check DCS input card
3. Transmitter Diagnostics:
- Connect HART communicator
- Check configuration
- Verify range settings
- Read error messages
- Check damping value
4. Process Verification:
- Compare with parallel measurements
- Check upstream/downstream pressures
- Verify process conditions
- Review recent changes
Likely Causes (Ranked):
1. Electronics failure (most probable)
2. Circuit open/short
3. Configuration error
4. Process isolation
5. DCS card issue
Required Tools:
- Multimeter
- HART communicator
- Calibrator
- Test leads
- Loop drawing
Documentation:
- Update maintenance log
- Record findings
- Note serial number
- Document settings
- Take backup configuration
Performance Impact Analysis:
1. Heat Rate Deviation:
- Current HR increase: 250 kJ/kWh
- Percentage: ~3.5% degradation
- Impact: ~2.5M/bulan fuel cost
2. Contributing Factors:
a) HRSG Performance:
- Approach temp +5°C = 100 kJ/kWh
- Potential fouling
- Stack temp likely high
b) Cycle Losses:
- Make up +2 T/h = 75 kJ/kWh
- Steam/water leaks likely
- Blowdown may be high
c) Condenser:
- Vacuum normal
- Minimal impact
3. Root Causes (Probability):
HIGH:
- HRSG tube fouling
- Steam/water leaks
- High blowdown rate
MEDIUM:
- Combustion issues
- Component degradation
LOW:
- Instrumentation error
- Fuel quality
Immediate Actions:
1. HRSG inspection
2. Steam leak survey
3. Review water chemistry
4. Check blowdown control
Long-term Recommendations:
1. Schedule HRSG cleaning
2. Optimize water chemistry
3. Review maintenance plan
4. Update monitoring system
Remaining Life Analysis:
1. Trend Calculations:
Vibrasi:
- Current gap to limit: 1.5 mm/s
- Rate: 0.2 mm/s per minggu
- Time to limit: 7.5 minggu
Temperature:
- Gap to limit: 10°C
- Rate: 2°C per bulan
- Time to limit: 5 bulan
Iron Content:
- Gap to limit: 15 ppm
- Rate: 3 ppm per bulan
- Time to limit: 5 bulan
2. Failure Mode Analysis:
Primary indicators:
- Bearing wear (Fe content)
- Mechanical looseness (vibrasi)
- Friction increase (temp)
Most critical: Vibrasi
3. Confidence Level:
- Data quality: High
- Trend linearity: Good
- External factors: Minimal
- Prediction confidence: 85%
4. RUL Prediction:
Worst case: 7.5 minggu
Best case: 5 bulan
Most probable: 2 bulan
Rekomendasi:
1. Schedule replacement dalam 6 minggu
2. Increase monitoring frequency
3. Prepare spare parts
4. Plan production adjustment
Monitoring Plan:
- Vibrasi: 2x per minggu
- Temp: continuous
- Oil analysis: 2 minggu sekali